Tax season is here, and while the IRS opened its doors for 2025 returns on Jan. 26, with the familiar April 15 deadline intact, this year’s filing experience is shaping up to be anything but routine. A perfect storm of workforce cuts, rushed new tax breaks, and strained systems means that getting your return right the first time has never been more important.
A Smaller IRS With a Bigger Job
The numbers tell a sobering story. According to the Taxpayer Advocate, the IRS entered this filing season with 27 percent fewer employees than it had just a year ago. Congressional funding clawbacks combined with the Department of Government Efficiency’s push for retirements and reductions have hollowed out the agency’s capacity at nearly every level.
The Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration warned that the IRS could struggle this year, noting that by Dec. 30, 2025, the agency had managed to onboard only two percent of the employees it was authorized to hire for submission processing. The culprits? New hiring procedures imposed by the Trump Administration and delays stemming from last year’s record 43-day government shutdown.
What does this mean for you? Automated systems will continue handling straightforward electronic returns efficiently. But anything requiring human attention, whether that’s an amended filing, identity verification or a return flagged for errors, will move at a crawl. Phone lines will be even harder to get through than usual, if you can get through at all.
New Deductions, New Confusion
Adding complexity to an already strained system, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act that President Trump signed in July introduced a set of temporary tax breaks that took effect retroactively for 2025. These include deductions for tips, overtime, seniors, and car loan interest, all requiring new forms, schedules and guidance that had to be produced in a hurry.
The potential for mistakes is significant, especially for the 45 percent of filers who prepare their own returns. Most 2025 W2 forms will not break out overtime pay separately, leaving taxpayers to figure it out themselves. And despite the political rhetoric around “no tax on Social Security,” the reality is a larger deduction for seniors that phases out as income rises. Some recipients may not realize they still need to report their benefits as taxable income.
The SALT cap increase from $10,000 to $40,000 is good news for many, but it also means taxpayers should take a fresh look at whether itemizing now makes more sense than claiming the standard deduction.
Direct Deposit or Prepare to Wait
The IRS is pushing hard for electronic refunds, and for good reason. Most error free, electronically filed returns with direct deposit are processed within 21 days. But if you prefer a paper check or accidentally provide incorrect bank account information, expect a much longer wait with fewer staff available to sort out problems.
Returns sent by mail? Plan on six weeks or more. Amended returns are averaging five months or longer, and the IRS is already working through an elevated backlog from prior years.
The Bottom Line
Accuracy matters more than speed this year. The system still works well for straightforward, completely correct returns, but it is far less forgiving when something goes wrong. If you are uncertain about how to handle one of the new deductions or think you might be missing documentation, filing for an automatic extension is a smarter move than submitting a return with errors.
File electronically. Double-check every entry. Use direct deposit. And if your situation is at all complicated, seek out a tax professional who can help you navigate a filing season where the margin for error has never been thinner.
